Евгений Войнов (tritankista) wrote in lj_live,
Евгений Войнов

GBP: Brisk marketplace for Pound Sterling; bears keep situation beneath hegemony

At the Forex money market the pair GBP/USD is going down nowadays

At the Forex currency marketplace the pair GBP/USD is available down today, stepping out of the yesterday's askew trend. There is no positive newscast for the Pound yet.

Forex estimate: MACD marker is within the depressing area for the pair GBP/USD & it is disappear down, open-handed a hammer flog pointer. Stochastic Oscillator is open-handed a similar signal, mind within the oversold sphere.

Forex recommendations: sellers' targets now will be the levels of 1.5450 and 1.5370.

As the figure released today showed the UK buyer assurance indicator increased within August to -18 versus the previous meaning of -22 and a forecast of -24 as per GfK review. According 2 economists this info should be treated without also much keenness: control measures 2 lessen finance dearth are moreover considerable for consumers & the next month's indicator can be pretty low.

Observers point out that real purchaser intimacy level is somewhere discontinue 2 the level of June, 2009.

It became identify yesteryear, that as apiece Hometrack, the UK houses prices declined by 0.3% m/m against the previous decrease by 0.1% m/m. Thus the situation within the housing area is feat worse. As apiece the Rightmove report, integer of that who buy a farmhouse for the primary moment can degeneration to the new low even before the end of this year : according 2 the investigation the integer of those who planned & bought a villa within QIII 2010 amounted 2 22.2% versus 30.8% a part earlier. If experts' prediction justifies the situation within the UK housing marketplace will get other problematical; analytics mention that there is opinion for matter even currently.

According to economists customer money index within the UK is at the low of the year within August : 37.9 points versus the previous level of 37.2 points. At the similar moment the UK publication firm coolness indicator has also reduced. All these put simultaneously propose that the paste of glumness 2 the households intensifies.

Economists' prediction for the British Pound Sterling by the end of the year is 1.400 as per BNP Paribas; &: 1.3500 as apiece UBS AG. We believe that if pessimistic backdrop maintains, the GDP will refuse 2 1.4000-1.3800, nonetheless if traders select 2 purchase the Pound rate can wing upwards 2 1.6500.

Traders do not prohibit that the Pound can waste around 15% at Forex beforehand the end of the year; currency growth prospects look particularly cruel.

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